Hedging Dynamic Forex Strategy (2024)

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Hedging Dynamic Forex Strategy is a trading system trend momentum based on classic crossover of moving averages filtered by slow stochastic. This strategy can also be interpreted in a dynamic hedging key due to its characteristic of being able to generate few operations in long lateral phases. Here I present a basic idea of how to eventually develop an EA expert whose settings vary from currency pair to time frame. But the idea I propose is clear.

Time frame 15 min or higher. The time frame at 15 min and 30 min is recommended only on the following currency pairs: EUR / USD, USD / JPY, AUD / USD. For other currencies a time frame of H1 or higher is recommended. On the daily time frame the strategy can also be managed manually. The reason I give this recommendation is that brokers between 22:30 and 24:00 GMT Berlin extend the spreads a lot.

Best time frame is 4H or daily.

For the 4 hour or daily time frame I propose also a strategy momentum only based.

Technical indicators.

Moving Average 34 period smoothed close.

Moving Average 14 period smoothed close.

(or Moving Averages 21 and 50 is more slow but good and proven solution)

Stochastic oscillator 21, 10, 10, close.

X indicator period 18 ( optional).

Trading rules Hedging Dynamic Forex Strategy

Buy

Moving Average 14 period smoothed crosses upward Moving Average 34 period smoothed.

Slow stochastic above 75 level.

Sell

Moving Average 14 period smoothed crosses downward Moving Average 34 period smoothed.

Slow stochastic below 25 level.

Hedging Rules

Martingala multiplier 1.5 or 1.4. max 10 trades for cycle.

Examples: USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD.

15 min time frame USD/JPY Target Profit 15 pips, increase each subsequent trade by two pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

H1 time frame USD/JPY Target Profit 30 pips, increase each subsequent trade by three pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

H4 Target Profit 70 pips, increase each subsequent trade by 5 pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

GBP/USD 15 min PT 20, pips Increase each subsequent trade by two pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

GBP/USD H1 min PT 40 pips. Increase each subsequent trade by three pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

GBP/USD H4 min PT 20 80 pips. Increase each subsequent trade by five pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

AUD/USD 15 min PT 10 pips, Increase each subsequent trade by two pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

AUD/USD H1 min PT 25 pips. Increase each subsequent trade by three pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

AUD/USD H4 min PT 50 pips. Increase each subsequent trade by five pips + dinamyc gap (pips) between buy and sell.

In the pictures Hedging Dynamic Forex Strategy in action.

Approved by Admin ( Janus, Maximo and Joy22) as Swing Holy Grail!!!!

Time frame H4 and daily.

Technical indicators.

Stochastic oscillator 21, 10, 10, close.

X indicator period 18.

Rules Stochastic momentum strategy

Buy

Stochastic line crosses upward line red.

Sell

Stochastic line crosses upward line red.

Exit position at opposite cross or with predetermined profit target see the previous target. Place initial stop loss at the previous swing high/low but, in this strategy the stop loss cannot be used (it is occurring with several different tests).

Right now we are also doing a comparative study to apply this strategy to binary options and more.

In the pictures Stochastic momentum strategy in action.

Update 30/04/208

Change filter x indicator 10 periods from 18 and slow stochastic (14, 10,10), from some tests it seems better period, it manages to be more reactive in moments of volatility, especially at low time frames.

Trend momentum strategy based on two moving averages and CCI filtered.

This is a trend momentum strategy very accurate.

Time frame 5 min or higher. (Best time frame H1 or higher.

Currency pairs any.

Metatrader 4 Indicator

Simple moving average 8 period close, shift -1.

Simple moving average 20 period close.

Super CCI 34 period.

Buy

CCI Black line crosses upward red line.

SMA 8 period > SMA 20 period.

Sell

CCI Black line crosses downward red line.

SMA 8 period < SMA 20 period.

Exit when there is the opposite direction or with predetermine profit target minimum ratio PT:SL 1:1

Place initial stop loss on the previous swing High/low.

Share your opinion.

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Hedging Dynamic Forex Strategy (2024)

FAQs

What is the best hedging strategy for FX? ›

A perfect hedge is where you hold a short and long position on the same currency pair. So, let's say you hold a long position on USD/EUR. This means you believe the value of this currency pair will increase and, therefore, you're willing to hold it for an extended period.

What is the secret of hedging in forex? ›

Simple (Direct) Forex Hedging

The hedging technique involves taking a short and long position simultaneously on the same currency. For example, if you opened a long position on EURUSD, you could consider a short on the currency pair. Typically, the profit net of the position would be zero.

What is the 5 3 1 forex strategy? ›

The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades.

How does dynamic hedging work? ›

In other words, dynamic hedging dictates that when the price falls, you sell more of the asset. Replicating a put option through dynamic trading entails a ''sell cheap, buy dear'' strategy.

Is forex hedging profitable? ›

Forex hedging is not specifically profitable. For speculators, forex hedging can bring in profits, but for companies, forex hedging is a strategy to prevent losses. Engaging in forex hedging will cost money, so while it may reduce risk and large losses, it will also take away from profits.

Is hedging illegal in forex? ›

Hedging with Forex trading is illegal in the US. To be clear, not every form of hedging is outlawed in the US, but the focus in the law is on the buying and selling of the same currency pair at the same or different strike prices. As such, the CFTC has established trading restrictions for Forex traders.

Why is hedging illegal in forex? ›

Ban on hedging in US

So let's discover the reasons for such ban. The NFA outlined two chief concerns about hedging. The first one is that it eliminates any opportunity to profit on the transaction. The other one is that hedging increases the customer's financial costs.

What is the disadvantage of hedging in forex? ›

The following are some of the drawbacks of hedging. Profit Potential May Be Reduced: A hedge lowers your risk, but it also limits your potential for profit. This happens because the value of your hedged position will decline if earnings on your original open positions increase.

What are the best forex pairs for hedging? ›

Another common FX hedging strategy involves selecting two currency pairs that are positively correlated, such as GBP/USD and EUR/USD, and then taking positions on both pairs but in the opposite direction.

What is 90% rule in forex? ›

The 90 rule in Forex is a commonly cited statistic that states that 90% of Forex traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days. This is a sobering statistic, but it is important to understand why it is true and how to avoid falling into the same trap.

What is 90 percent winning forex strategy? ›

By combining three different Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators, you can potentially achieve a win rate of up to 90%. The three RSI indicators used in this strategy are the 14-period RSI, 7-period RSI, and 3-period RSI. Each of these indicators plays a crucial role in identifying market trends and momentum.

Is there a 100% forex strategy? ›

A 100% winning strategy in Forex is unattainable due to the market's inherent unpredictability. Forex is influenced by a multitude of factors, including economic data, geopolitical events, and market sentiment, making price movements impossible to predict with absolute certainty.

What are the disadvantages of dynamic hedging? ›

Disadvantages: 1. Higher Costs: Dynamic hedging can be more expensive than a passive investment strategy. This is because it requires ongoing monitoring and management of a portfolio's risk exposure, which can result in higher transaction costs and management fees.

What is the formula for hedging strategy? ›

The Hedge Ratio is calculated by dividing the risk of the investment by the expected return. To calculate the Hedge Ratio, you divide the change in the value of the futures contract (Hf) by the change in the cash value of the asset that you're hedging (Hs). So, the formula is: HR = Hf / Hs.

Is hedging always profitable? ›

Hedging in investing is used to manage risk by offsetting potential losses in one investment with gains in another. The goal of a hedge is not necessarily to make a profit, but rather to protect against potential losses.

How do you hedge with FX? ›

A simple forex hedging strategy involves opening the opposing position to a current trade. For example, if you already had a long position on a currency pair, you might choose to open a short position on the same currency pair – this is known as a direct hedge.

How to hedge against foreign exchange risk? ›

Companies that have exposure to foreign markets can often hedge their risk with currency swap forward contracts. Many funds and ETFs also hedge currency risk using forward contracts. A currency forward contract, or currency forward, allows the purchaser to lock in the price they pay for a currency.

How do you hedge against FX volatility? ›

Strategies for Mitigating Currency Risk

Hedging Strategies: Hedging involves using financial instruments such as forward contracts (buy/selling at an agreed price at a future date) or options to protect against adverse currency movements.

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