Understanding bond yields | Desjardins (2024)

Many new investors are surprised to learn that a bond's price and yield, just like that of any other publicly-traded security, change on a daily basis. Strange for an investment with a fixed face value, interest rate and maturity, isn't it? That's because bonds can be sold before maturity in the open market, where the price can fluctuate.

Measuring return with yield

Yield is a figure that shows the return you get on a bond. The simplest version of yield is calculated by the following formula:

yield = coupon amount/price. When the price changes, so does the yield.

Here's an example: Let's say you buy a bond at its $1,000par value with a 10%coupon.

If you hold on to it, it's simple. The issuer pays you $100a year for 10years, and then pays you back the $1,000 on the scheduled date. The yield is therefore 10% ($100/$1000).

If, however, you decide to sell it on the market, you won't get $1,000. Why? Because bond prices change on a daily basis of prevailing interest rates.

If the price of the bond in the market is $800, it's selling under face value or at a discount. If the price of the bond in the market is $1,200, it's selling above face value, or at a premium.

Regardless of the market price of a bond, the coupon remains the same. In our example, the bond holder continues to receive $100a year.

What changes is the bond yield. If you sell it for $800, the yield will be 12.5% ($100/$800). If you sell it for $1,200, the yield will be 8.33% ($100/$1,200).

Yield to maturity

Of course, in real life, things tend to be more complicated. When bond investors refer to yield, they're usually referring to yield to maturity (YTM). YTM is the sum of:

  • all the interest payments you'll receive (and assumes that you'll reinvest the interest payment at the same rate as the current yield on the bond)
  • any gain (if you purchased at a discount) or loss (if you purchased at a premium)

YTM is a yield calculation that enables you to compare bonds with different maturities and coupons.

The link between price and yield

The yield's relationship with price can be summarized as follows: When price goes up, yield goes down and vice versa. Technically you'd say the bond's prices and its yield are inversely related.

Here's a main point of confusion. How can high yields and high prices both be good when they can't happen at the same time?

The answer depends on your point of view. If you're a bond buyer, you want high yields. A buyer wants to pay $800 for the $1,000 bond, which gives the bond a high yield of 12.5%. On the other hand, if you already own a bond, you've locked in your interest rate, so you hope the price of the bond goes up. This way you can cash out by selling your bond in the future.

The influence of interest rates

The face value, coupon, maturity, the issuer and yield are all factors that play a role in a bond's price.

However, the factor that influences a bond more than any other is the level of prevailing interest rates in the economy. When interest rates rise, the prices of bonds in the market fall , thereby raising the yield of the older bonds and bringing them into line with the newer bonds being issued with a higher coupon.

And, when interest rates fall, the prices of bonds in the market rise, thereby lowering the yield of the older bonds and bringing them into line with the newer bonds being issued with a lower coupon.

Tools and tips

How bonds work

When you buy a bond, you are lending money to a government or a company.

Read tip- How bonds work

Characteristics of bonds

Learn about face value, coupons and default risk.

Read tip- Characteristics of bonds

Types of bonds

Discover the 3 main categories of bonds.

Read tip- Types of bonds

How to read a bond table

What the columns in a bond table stand for.

Read tip- How to read a bond table

Understanding bond yields | Desjardins (2024)

FAQs

Is a higher or lower bond yield better? ›

The low-yield bond is better for the investor who wants a virtually risk-free asset, or one who is hedging a mixed portfolio by keeping a portion of it in a low-risk asset. The high-yield bond is better for the investor who is willing to accept a degree of risk in return for a higher return.

How do you read bond yields? ›

Here's an example: Let's say you buy a bond at its $1,000 par value with a 10% coupon. If you hold on to it, it's simple. The issuer pays you $100 a year for 10 years, and then pays you back the $1,000 on the scheduled date. The yield is therefore 10% ($100/$1000).

What does it mean when bond yields go up or down? ›

Bond prices move in inverse fashion to interest rates, reflecting an important bond investing consideration known as interest rate risk. If bond yields decline, the value of bonds already on the market move higher. If bond yields rise, existing bonds lose value.

What are bond yields for dummies? ›

A bond yield is the return an investor realizes on a bond. Put simply, a bond yield is the return on the capital invested by an investor. Bond yields are different from bond prices—both of which share an inverse relationship. The yield matches the bond's coupon rate when the bond is issued.

Should you sell bonds when interest rates rise? ›

Unless you are set on holding your bonds until maturity despite the upcoming availability of more lucrative options, a looming interest rate hike should be a clear sell signal.

Is yield the same as interest rate? ›

Yield is the annual net profit that an investor earns on an investment. The interest rate is the percentage charged by a lender for a loan.

How much is a $100 savings bond worth after 30 years? ›

How to get the most value from your savings bonds
Face ValuePurchase Amount30-Year Value (Purchased May 1990)
$50 Bond$100$207.36
$100 Bond$200$414.72
$500 Bond$400$1,036.80
$1,000 Bond$800$2,073.60

What is the difference between a bond and a yield? ›

Investing in bonds? You'll want to know about yield and return. Yield is a general term that relates to the return on the capital you invest in a bond. Price and yield are inversely related: As the price of a bond goes up, its yield goes down, and vice versa.

Is now a good time to buy bonds? ›

Short-term bond yields are high currently, but with the Federal Reserve poised to cut interest rates investors may want to consider longer-term bonds or bond funds. High-quality bond investments remain attractive.

Can you lose money on bonds if held to maturity? ›

However, you can also buy and sell bonds on the secondary market. After bonds are initially issued, their worth will fluctuate like a stock's would. If you're holding the bond to maturity, the fluctuations won't matter—your interest payments and face value won't change.

Are bonds a good investment in 2024? ›

Vanguard's active fixed income team believes emerging markets (EM) bonds could outperform much of the rest of the fixed income market in 2024 because of the likelihood of declining global interest rates, the current yield premium over U.S. investment-grade bonds, and a longer duration profile than U.S. high yield.

What is the bond outlook for 2024? ›

As inflation finally seems to be coming under control, and growth is slowing as the global economy feels the full impact of higher interest rates, 2024 could be a compelling year for bonds.

Do you make money when bond yields go up? ›

Rising yields can create capital losses in the short term, but can set the stage for higher future returns. When interest rates are rising, you can purchase new bonds at higher yields. Over time the portfolio earns more income than it would have if interest rates had remained lower.

What causes bond yields to rise? ›

The rise in bond bond yields is driven chiefly by markets' perception of a reduced risk of recession, which, counterintuitively, could lead to a jump in the supply of government bonds in the future.

What is the difference between yield and price? ›

The yield and bond price have an important but inverse relationship. When the bond price is lower than the face value, the bond yield is higher than the coupon rate. When the bond price is higher than the face value, the bond yield is lower than the coupon rate.

What does it mean when a bond has a high yield? ›

Bonds rated below Baa3 by ratings agency Moody's or below BBB by Standard & Poor's and Fitch Ratings are considered “speculative grade” or high-yield bonds. Sometimes also called junk bonds, these bonds offer higher interest rates to attract investors and compensate for the higher level of risk.

Why is a higher yield better? ›

High yield is also inherently less volatile than other risk assets, including equities. As a result, drawdowns tend to be shallower. That's why the asset class is a good diversifier of investors' overall equity exposure.

Are higher bond yields good for banks? ›

Higher bond yields help banks initially, allowing lenders to earn more interest on assets. But when interest rates rise too fast—as they have during the Federal Reserve's recent tightening cycle—bank stocks suffer.

What does lower yields mean? ›

Meaning of low-yield in English

used to describe investments that do not pay much income: low-yield accounts/assets/bonds Analysts argue that the group can only maintain its dividend if it sells its low-yielding assets and reinvests in funds with higher returns. Compare. high-yield.

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